Tuesday, December 31, 2019

2019 Trade Analysis

First non-losing year since 2015 but it was really a wash. Net gain of +$118! I do like the method I'm using (and still tweaking) past 4 months or so and expect to continue that in 2020.

The big picture for past 10 years below.  Easy to be depressed about this but it's in the past and I am an optimist.  I still believe I can be successful and will attempt to realize that in 2020 and beyond.

Quarter 4 2019 Trading Summary +1.0%

December Trading Summary +3.9%

Net breakdown (contracts traded):
NQ +$53(10), CL +$455(85)
RESULTS FOR DECEMBER
Contracts:95
Net $P/L:508
Wins:56
Losses:21
Win%:73
$Commissions:362
Avg$Win:77
Avg$Loss:-182

Past Monthly Trading Summaries - link on the right
Equity Curve - updated link on the right

Tues. 12/31 +1.7%

1:00pm CST - And that's a wrap.  Treaded water much of year.  Didn't lose, didn't win.  Look for year-end wrap/stats by tomorrow.
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
NQ +$22(1), CL +$202(2)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 224
Wins: 3
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 75
Avg$Loss: 0

Monday, December 30, 2019

Mon. 12/30 +0.0%

1:55pm CST - Scalping the decade away...
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
NQ +$31(9), CL -$26(9)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:18
Net $P/L: 5
Wins: 10
Losses: 6
Win%:63
Avg$Win: 83
Avg$Loss: -137

Friday, December 27, 2019

Fri. 12/27 -1.7%

12:00pm CST -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: -222
Wins: 0
Losses: 3
Win%:0
Avg$Win: 0
Avg$Loss: -74

Thursday, December 26, 2019

Thurs. 12/26 +2.0%

9:35am CST - Done early, thankfully, to enjoy the 62°F temps forecasted in Chicago! :)  Forgot chart on previous post - just added, as ugly as it was!
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: 264
Wins: 3
Losses: 1
Win%:75
Avg$Win: 116
Avg$Loss: -84

Monday, December 23, 2019

Mon. 12/23 -6.0%

1:40pm CST - Easy to get burned with 2-lots. Need to rethink my rules to reduce risk. 2nd trade was pure revenge - Bah Humbug. Merry Christmas to all.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: -846
Wins: 0
Losses: 2
Win%:0
Avg$Win: 0
Avg$Loss: -423

Friday, December 20, 2019

Fri. 12/20 +2.2%

1:35pm CST - A little lucky I was able to get back initial loss and then some. For the week, net +$855.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:9
Net $P/L: 305
Wins: 6
Losses: 1
Win%:86
Avg$Win: 120
Avg$Loss: -418

Thursday, December 19, 2019

Thurs. 12/19 +0.9%

1:45pm CST - Another low volume day.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 126
Wins: 5
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 25
Avg$Loss: 0

Wednesday, December 18, 2019

Wed. 12/18 +1.6%

2:20pm CST - Still dealing with data delays on my trading platform during fast markets.  Very frustrating broker can't seem to figure this out quickly and fix it!  Hard to click on DOM to place a trade when price is 20+ cents wrong!  If not for Ninjatrader, I would be blind.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: 214
Wins: 3
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 71
Avg$Loss: 0

Tuesday, December 17, 2019

Tues. 12/17 +1.6%

12:15pm CST - A bit more range than yesterday but slow as hell, perhaps partly due to rollover?
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 206
Wins: 4
Losses: 1
Win%:80
Avg$Win: 73
Avg$Loss: -84

Monday, December 16, 2019

Mon. 12/16 +0.0%

1:15pm CST - No range, no follow through. Is it a holiday or something?
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 4
Wins: 2
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 2
Avg$Loss: 0

Friday, December 13, 2019

Fri. 12/13 -3.4%

2:10pm CST - Gain Futures data issues causing major delays during the spike up. Was trading nearly blind, or at least confused.  Price was not where it was showing on Gain charts or DOM.  The add at 60.30 was great if I had gotten out above but I ended up with nothing on that sequence.  Gave up 2 days of gains. For the week net +$207.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:8
Net $P/L: -462
Wins: 4
Losses: 2
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 40
Avg$Loss: -311

Thursday, December 12, 2019

Thurs. 12/12 +1.6%

1:15pm CST - Once again, not holding long enough.  I was in trade for one minute, a couple more would have doubled my gain. 
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 216
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 216
Avg$Loss: 0

Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Wed. 12/11 +2.0%

2:50pm CST - Back to BE on year.  YTD: 0.0%  Let's see if I can keep that on plus side rest of month...
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 258
Wins: 3
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 86
Avg$Loss: 0

In other news, although we'd all like to net 10+% every month, it's good to remind oneself what the "pros" actually do in a typical month.

Tuesday, December 10, 2019

Tues. 12/10 +0.8%

2:30pm CST - Tight range most all day.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:9
Net $P/L: 105
Wins: 5
Losses: 1
Win%:83
Avg$Win: 24
Avg$Loss: -4

Monday, December 9, 2019

Mon. 12/09 +0.7%

2:05pm CST -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:5
Net $P/L: 90
Wins: 4
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 23
Avg$Loss: 0

Tuesday, December 3, 2019

Mon. & Tues. 12/02 & 12/03 +0.1%

11:55am CST - A rare overnight hold bailed me out.
RESULTS FOR 2 DAYS
CL Contracts:8
Net $P/L: 18
Wins: 3
Losses: 4
Win%:43
Avg$Win: 246
Avg$Loss: -180

Friday, November 29, 2019

November Trading Summary +0.5%

RESULTS FOR NOVEMBER
CL Contracts:47
Net $P/L:75
Wins:20
Losses:24
Win%:45
$Commissions:185
Avg$Win:146
Avg$Loss:-119

Fri. 11/29 +1.6%

12:50pm CST - Well that could have been an outlier day! D'oh!
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 206
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 206
Avg$Loss: 0

Thursday, November 28, 2019

Thurs. 11/28 +0.0%

10:45am CST - Wasn't expecting much on this half-day holiday and that's just what I got. Didn't even cover the cost of the mashed potatoes.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 2
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 66
Avg$Loss: -64

Wednesday, November 27, 2019

Wed. 11/27 +0.1%

2:15pm CST - So close to an okay day. Content with scratch I guess. Happy Thanksgiving to all.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 6
Wins: 2
Losses: 4
Win%:33
Avg$Win: 171
Avg$Loss: -84

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

Tues. 11/26 +0.8%

1:00pm CST -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 102
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 176
Avg$Loss: -74

Monday, November 25, 2019

Mon. 11/25 +0.0%

10:10am CST - Dug an early hole but crawled out and done. Too many straight line big swings in both directions.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:5
Net $P/L: 0
Wins: 1
Losses: 2
Win%:33
Avg$Win: 582
Avg$Loss: -291

Thursday, November 14, 2019

Thurs. 11/14 -6.1%

1:35pm CST - Gambling day on inventory report went awry. Will I ever learn?  The long signal before report was legit but I should have let it stop out at .52.  Seen too many reports with price reversal after initial move but of course this one behaved appropriately.  Inventory build exceeded the estimates so price went down.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: -822
Wins: 0
Losses: 2
Win%:0
Avg$Win: 0
Avg$Loss: -411

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

Wed. 11/13 -1.4%

1:50pm CST - Very frustrating day.  So many trades came back to stop out after being up 10 or more ticks.  And 2 spiked out on stop runs for 20 tick hits.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:10
Net $P/L: -189
Wins: 4
Losses: 6
Win%:40
Avg$Win: 59
Avg$Loss: -71

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Tues. 11/12 +0.8%

1:45pm CST - Trying to enter a position with a limit order vs. a market order for a tick better fill cost me $200 today. SMH
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 106
Wins: 3
Losses: 3
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 83
Avg$Loss: -47

Monday, November 11, 2019

Mon. 11/11 +1.7%

1:35pm CST - New week, new method that makes more trades.  Although I quit early today.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 222
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 226
Avg$Loss: -4

In other news, the poor European traders are overworked I guess.

Friday, November 8, 2019

Fri. 11/08 -0.9%

1:35pm CST -  Not liking the infrequency of trades with new method this week but I did net +$441 for week which made back last month's loss so there's that.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:1
Net $P/L: -124
Wins: 0
Losses: 1
Win%:0
Avg$Win: 0
Avg$Loss: -124

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Thurs. 11/07 +1.0%

1:35pm CST -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 136
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 136
Avg$Loss: 0

Wednesday, November 6, 2019

Wed. 11/06 +2.2%

12:15pm CST - Too many wild high-volume spikes today!
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 282
Wins: 1
Losses: 1
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 286
Avg$Loss: -4

Tuesday, November 5, 2019

Tues. 11/05 +1.1%

2:00pm CST - Not much moving today -feels like a holiday?
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 138
Wins: 2
Losses: 1
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 116
Avg$Loss: -94

Monday, November 4, 2019

Mon. 11/04 +0.1%

1:45pm CST - Trying a new system, testing.  Missed a couple signals which of course were winners.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 8
Wins: 2
Losses: 1
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 91
Avg$Loss: -174

Thursday, October 31, 2019

October Trading Summary -3.3%

Net breakdown (contracts traded):
MNQ -$33(11), CL -$399(114)
RESULTS FOR OCTOBER
Contracts:125
Net $P/L:-432
Wins:59
Losses:63
Win%:48
$Commissions:457
Avg$Win:79
Avg$Loss:-80

Thurs. 10/31 -3.9%

2:40pm CDT - Was breakeven on month and year after yesterday but not today. Too many bad signals in a row. Days like this, makes one think any edge is imaginary.  The work continues...
RESULTS FOR DAY
Cl contracts:14
Net $P/L: -515
Wins: 7
Losses: 7
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 35
Avg$Loss: -108

Wednesday, October 30, 2019

Wed. 10/30 +1.6%

1:55pm CDT - FOMC Day and EIA Report Day. Loved the first fill of day. Lucky with no heat.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 216
Wins: 4
Losses: 2
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 96
Avg$Loss: -84

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Tues. 10/29 +1.6%

1:15pm CDT -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 202
Wins: 2
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 101
Avg$Loss: 0

Monday, October 28, 2019

Mon. 10/28 +0.0%

2:10pm CDT - Trade mismanagement day!
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:7
Net $P/L: 2
Wins: 3
Losses: 4
Win%:43
Avg$Win: 59
Avg$Loss: -44

Friday, October 25, 2019

Fri. 10/25 +0.7%

2:10pm CDT - Short changed myself a few times by not letting trades run further. Will I ever learn to do this? For the week, net +$276.
RESULTS FOR DAY
Cl contracts:5
Net $P/L: 90
Wins: 3
Losses: 2
Win%:60
Avg$Win: 109
Avg$Loss: -119

Thursday, October 24, 2019

Thurs. 10/24 +1.7%

12:45pm CDT - Good to grind out a win.  Too many 10+ MFEs for BE or stop outs for my taste.
RESULTS FOR DAY
Cl contracts:6
Net $P/L: 216
Wins: 3
Losses: 3
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 103
Avg$Loss: -31

Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Wed. 10/23 +0.1%

1:45pm CDT - More crappy signals, some of which I may have imagined prematurely. Should have quit after the first trade and/or held it longer.  Afternoon was fading, looking for a nice size pullback but never really got one.  Looks like a parabolic move up for cryin' out loud! SMH
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:11
Net $P/L: 17
Wins: 6
Losses: 5
Win%:55
Avg$Win: 68
Avg$Loss: -78

Tuesday, October 22, 2019

Tues. 10/22 -2.7%

1:50pm CDT - Too many wrong signals and stops too tight.  No idea what caused the 9:57am spike up? 10 min. earlier would have been helpful.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:8
Net $P/L: -352
Wins: 1
Losses: 7
Win%:13
Avg$Win: 176
Avg$Loss: -75

Monday, October 21, 2019

Mon. 10/21 +2.4%

1:35pm CDT -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: 304
Wins: 3
Losses: 1
Win%:75
Avg$Win: 103
Avg$Loss: -4

Friday, October 18, 2019

Fri. 10/18 -2.2%

12:55pm CDT - Nothing worked today. Well I guess 4th trade did but BE stop took me out. For the week, +$343 net.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:5
Net $P/L: -290
Wins: 2
Losses: 3
Win%:40
Avg$Win: 6
Avg$Loss: -101

Thursday, October 17, 2019

Thurs. 10/17 +1.3%

12:15pm CDT - More missteps but can't complain too much. Green is green.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 168
Wins: 2
Losses: 1
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 121
Avg$Loss: -74

Wednesday, October 16, 2019

Wed. 10/16 +0.5%

1:30pm CDT - Tough day but patience paid off with a few Andrew Jacksons. Thought it was inventory report day until half hour before when I saw it on calendar for tomorrow.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: 64
Wins: 2
Losses: 2
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 56
Avg$Loss: -24

Tuesday, October 15, 2019

Tues. 10/15 +0.8%

12:15pm CDT -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:3
Net $P/L: 98
Wins: 2
Losses: 1
Win%:67
Avg$Win: 106
Avg$Loss: -114