Tuesday, December 31, 2019

2019 Trade Analysis

First non-losing year since 2015 but it was really a wash. Net gain of +$118! I do like the method I'm using (and still tweaking) past 4 months or so and expect to continue that in 2020.

The big picture for past 10 years below.  Easy to be depressed about this but it's in the past and I am an optimist.  I still believe I can be successful and will attempt to realize that in 2020 and beyond.

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4 comments:

  1. SoullfireJanuary 4, 2020 at 5:57 PM

    1) Does this include your "Elite Trader" posting days? I recall there were some daily six figure swings going on back then!
    2) Especially since you have an engineering background, did you crunch the numbers to create a set of positive data trends that promote continuing on?

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    1. MBAGearheadJanuary 6, 2020 at 2:07 PM

      1) No, that was in 2007, mostly 5 figure swings. I'm sure I'm still in the ET archives if you search...
      2) No point in crunching numbers as I'm still tweaking approach and trying to find an "edge".

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    2. SoullfireJanuary 8, 2020 at 9:44 PM

      What I mean by crunching numbers is looking over all the data to find outliers and trends that would aid in refining your trading models and point out any fruitful areas to focus on. For example, which futures contract yielded the best P/L ratio, best time of day for trading, optimum number of trades per day/week, P/L curves of methods tested so far, which methods showed the most promise, most profitable trades based on time in market, etc...
      These are the kind if things that could provide good help in helping one develop a model with a good edge. With over 10 years of trading data, you have a treasure trove of personal information that can be analyzed for special insight and inspiration.

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    3. MBAGearheadJanuary 17, 2020 at 2:05 PM

      I follow you but this is very difficult data mining considering all the tweaks I've made over the years. Hard to wrap my head around it really. I'm less OCD about data analysis than I used to be too. Good or bad? Not sure. LOL

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