Tuesday, March 31, 2015

Quarter 1 2015 Trading Results

March Trading Summary

Net breakdown (contracts traded):
6E -$46(5), ZS -$232(4), ES -$310(3), CL $112(112), QM $697(1)
RESULTS FOR MARCH
Contracts:125
Net $P/L:222
Wins:66
Losses:58
Win%:53
$Commissions:481
Avg$Win:98
Avg$Loss:-108

Tues. 3/31

2:55pm CDT - Was even for the month so today eeked out a tiny gain.  I'll take it.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:7
Net $P/L: 213
Wins: 4
Losses: 3
Win%:57
Avg$Win: 119
Avg$Loss: -87

In the grain world, I decided to put a position on at the close in corn. Just looking for a dead cat bounce at tonight's open or tomorrow. Won't give it much room if I'm wrong.

Monday, March 30, 2015

Mon. 3/30

2:55pm CDT - Choppy P/L curve today but at least it was up. Would love to have a few trade management decisions back to redo:  the short exit at 48.20 -Trade 10, the long exit at 48.23 -Trade 14, the stop placement at 48.15 -Trade 15 (stopped to the tick).
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:16
Net $P/L: 219
Wins: 8
Losses: 8
Win%:50
Avg$Win: 99
Avg$Loss: -72

Friday, March 27, 2015

Fri. 3/27

2:15pm CDT - A short test with new strat on ES (chart not saved).  At least CL made up for losses.  For the week, net -$561 thanks to that 6E trade Tues.
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
CL $319(3), ES -$310(3)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:6
Net $P/L: 9
Wins: 2
Losses: 3
Win%:40
Avg$Win: 206
Avg$Loss: 135

Thursday, March 26, 2015

Thurs. 3/26

2:20pm CDT - The day started well but couldn't get past +$200. I quit before giving back every dollar of the last 2 days CL gains.  The last trade I had planned to hold awhile which would have salvaged the day but the market had other plans for my stop at 50.65.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:18
Net $P/L: -369
Wins: 8
Losses: 10
Win%:44
Avg$Win: 50
Avg$Loss: -77

Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Wed. 3/25

1:40pm CDT -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:7
Net $P/L: 213
Wins: 6
Losses: 1
Win%:86
Avg$Win: 50
Avg$Loss: -84

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Tues. 3/24

2:25pm CDT - Sometimes I hate my 6E system. Today I took a signal feeling fairly sure it was going to suck and it did. But it's hard to code a feeling into a system so taking all the signals is the only way to go. My feeling could have been wrong just as easily.  YTD, the 6E system should be up $884 on 13 trades.  In reality, I'm up $1825 on 11 trades thanks to missing a couple trades and outperforming on a couple due to not following rules exactly. Being rewarded for doing the wrong thing is rarely good long-term but I will live with with my flaws.

Started live testing a new CL system today.  It has clearly defined entries but discretionary trade management and stops.
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
CL $202(10), 6E -$617(1)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:11
Net $P/L: -415
Wins: 8
Losses: 3
Win%:73
Avg$Win: 39
Avg$Loss: -242

Highly recommend this webinar from BMT:

Friday, March 20, 2015

Fri. 3/20

1:25pm CDT - 1 system trade in Euro to end a good week with 3 trades for net +$1676.
RESULTS FOR DAY
6E Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 333
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 333
Avg$Loss: 0

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Wed. 3/18

2:05pm CDT - Nice day. Back to scratch for the month.
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
QM $697(1), 6E $646(1)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:2
Net $P/L: 1343
Wins: 2
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 671
Avg$Loss: 0

In other news,
1) 10,000 ethical violations per second! LOL
2) And trading is so easy a high schooler can run a profitable hedge fund...

Thursday, March 12, 2015

Thurs. 3/12

2:55pm CDT - 1 system trade in Euro today with a full stop experience thanks to the fake spike reaction to news at 7:30am.
RESULTS FOR DAY
6E Contracts:1
Net $P/L: -617
Wins: 0
Losses: 1
Win%:0
Avg$Win: 0
Avg$Loss: -617

Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Tues. 3/10

1:40pm CDT - Didn't save CL chart.  And didn't trade crop report well in beans.
Net breakdown (contracts traded):
CL -$296(12), ZS -$232(4)
RESULTS FOR DAY
Contracts:16
Net $P/L: -528
Wins: 7
Losses: 9
Win%:44
Avg$Win: 31
Avg$Loss: -83

Monday, March 9, 2015

Mon. 3/09

2:35pm CDT - New CL system testing this week.  Defined entry rules, some discretion on exits. 
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:13
Net $P/L: 100
Wins: 7
Losses: 6
Win%:54
Avg$Win: 61
Avg$Loss: -54

Friday, March 6, 2015

Fri. 3/06

2:40pm CST - 1 system trade in Euro thanks to payroll report.  For the week, net -$284.
RESULTS FOR DAY
6E Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 208
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 208
Avg$Loss: 0

For weekend viewing, thanks to George:


Thursday, March 5, 2015

Thurs. 3/05

2:45pm CST - Another tough day for my system. To answer the question from yesterday, these past few weeks I have been feeling out live trading a CL system that has clearly defined entries but some subjectivity on the exits and trade management.  Recent results show I need to reduce this subjectivity.  Based on backtesting, there's a slight edge but I'm going to put this on the back burner for now so I can focus more on another CL system I have been working on that I think has greater potential.  As usual, time will tell...
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:9
Net $P/L: -444
Wins: 3
Losses: 6
Win%:33
Avg$Win: 46
Avg$Loss: -97

Wednesday, March 4, 2015

Wed. 3/04

2:10pm CST - Dug a hole early and never got out. I should have waited until after Inventory Report to start trading.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:12
Net $P/L: -436
Wins: 5
Losses: 7
Win%:42
Avg$Win: 108
Avg$Loss: -140

Tuesday, March 3, 2015

Tues. 3/03

1:50pm CST - Pretty choppy conditions today.
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:4
Net $P/L: 205
Wins: 3
Losses: 1
Win%:75
Avg$Win: 123
Avg$Loss: -164

Monday, March 2, 2015

Mon. 3/02

2:35pm CST -
RESULTS FOR DAY
CL Contracts:1
Net $P/L: 186
Wins: 1
Losses: 0
Win%:100
Avg$Win: 186
Avg$Loss: 0